The robust beauty of majority rules in group decisions

被引:252
作者
Hastie, R [1 ]
Kameda, T
机构
[1] Univ Chicago, Grad Sch Business, Ctr Decis Res, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
[2] Hokkaido Univ, Dept Behav Sci, Sapporo, Hokkaido 0600810, Japan
关键词
D O I
10.1037/0033-295X.112.2.494
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
How should groups make decisions? The authors provide an original evaluation of 9 group decision rules based on their adaptive success in a simulated test bed environment. When the adaptive success standard is applied, the majority and plurality rules fare quite well, performing at levels comparable to much more resource-demanding rules such as an individual judgment averaging rule. The plurality rule matches the computationally demanding Condorcet majority winner that is standard in evaluations of preferential choice. The authors also test the results from their theoretical analysis in a behavioral study of nominal human group decisions, and the essential findings are confirmed empirically. The conclusions of the present analysis support the popularity of majority and plurality rules in truth-seeking group decisions.
引用
收藏
页码:494 / 508
页数:15
相关论文
共 86 条
[21]   Experience-weighted attraction learning in normal form games [J].
Camerer, C ;
Ho, TH .
ECONOMETRICA, 1999, 67 (04) :827-874
[22]   SOCIAL CHOICE OBSERVED - 5 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS OF THE AMERICAN-PSYCHOLOGICAL-ASSOCIATION [J].
CHAMBERLIN, JR ;
COHEN, JL ;
COOMBS, CH .
JOURNAL OF POLITICS, 1984, 46 (02) :479-502
[23]  
CONDORCET M, 1994, CONDORCET FDN SOCIAL, P11
[24]   Group decision-making in animals [J].
Conradt, L ;
Roper, TJ .
NATURE, 2003, 421 (6919) :155-158
[25]  
Cooksey R. W., 1996, JUDGMENT ANAL THEORY
[26]   ESOPHAGEAL ATRESIA IN SOUTH WEST OF ENGLAND [J].
DAVID, TJ ;
OCALLAGHAN, SE .
JOURNAL OF MEDICAL GENETICS, 1975, 12 (01) :1-11
[27]  
Davis J. H., 1996, Understanding Group Behavior: Consensual Action By Small Groups, P35
[28]   The committee charge, framing interpersonal agreement, and consensus models of group quantitative judgment [J].
Davis, JH ;
Zarnoth, P ;
Hulbert, L ;
Chen, XP ;
Parks, C ;
Nam, K .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES, 1997, 72 (02) :137-157
[29]   GROUP DECISION AND SOCIAL INTERACTION - THEORY OF SOCIAL DECISION SCHEMES [J].
DAVIS, JH .
PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, 1973, 80 (02) :97-125
[30]  
DAVIS JH, 1982, GROUP DECISION MAKIN, P101