Climate: past ranges and future changes

被引:86
作者
Esper, J [1 ]
Wilson, RJS
Frank, DC
Moberg, A
Wanner, H
Luterbacher, J
机构
[1] Swiss Fed Res Inst WSL, CH-8093 Birmensdorf, Switzerland
[2] Univ Edinburgh, Grant Inst Geol, Sch Geosci, Edinburgh EH9 3JW, Midlothian, Scotland
[3] Stockholm Univ, Dept Meteorol, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden
[4] Univ Bern, NCCR Climate, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland
[5] Univ Bern, Inst Geog, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland
关键词
D O I
10.1016/j.quascirev.2005.07.001
中图分类号
P9 [自然地理学];
学科分类号
0705 ; 070501 ;
摘要
Comparison of large-scale temperature reconstructions over the past millennium reveals agreement on major climatic episodes, but substantial divergence in reconstructed (absolute) temperature amplitude. We here detail several research priorities to overcome this 'amplitude desideratum', and discuss the relevance of this effort for the prediction of future temperature changes and the meaning of the Kyoto protocol. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2164 / 2166
页数:3
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