Assumptions and the levelized cost of energy for photovoltaics

被引:277
作者
Darling, Seth B. [1 ]
You, Fengqi [2 ,3 ]
Veselka, Thomas [4 ]
Velosa, Alfonso [5 ]
机构
[1] Argonne Natl Lab, Ctr Nanoscale Mat, Argonne, IL 60439 USA
[2] Argonne Natl Lab, Div Math & Comp Sci, Argonne, IL 60439 USA
[3] Northwestern Univ, Dept Chem & Biol Engn, Evanston, IL USA
[4] Argonne Natl Lab, Decis & Informat Sci Div, Argonne, IL 60439 USA
[5] Gartner Inc, Semicond & Solar, Stamford, CT USA
关键词
Intelligent systems - Electric power generation - Costs - Renewable energy resources;
D O I
10.1039/c0ee00698j
中图分类号
O6 [化学];
学科分类号
0703 ;
摘要
Photovoltaic electricity is a rapidly growing renewable energy source and will ultimately assume a major role in global energy production. The cost of solar-generated electricity is typically compared to electricity produced by traditional sources with a levelized cost of energy (LCOE) calculation. Generally, LCOE is treated as a definite number and the assumptions lying beneath that result are rarely reported or even understood. Here we shed light on some of the key assumptions and offer a new approach to calculating LCOE for photovoltaics based on input parameter distributions feeding a Monte Carlo simulation. In this framework, the influence of assumptions and confidence intervals
引用
收藏
页码:3133 / 3139
页数:7
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