Information and posterior probability criteria for model selection in local likelihood estimation

被引:17
作者
Irizarry, RA [1 ]
机构
[1] Johns Hopkins Univ, Dept Biostat, Baltimore, MD 21205 USA
关键词
information criteria; local likelihood; local regression; model selection; posterior probability criteria; signal processing; weighted Kullback-Leibler; window size selection;
D O I
10.1198/016214501750332875
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Local likelihood estimation has proven to be an effective method for obtaining estimates of parameters that vary with a covariate. To obtain useful estimates of such parameters, approximating models are used. In such cases it is useful to consider window based estimates. We may need to choose between competing approximating models. In this article, we propose a modification to the methods used to motivate many information and posterior probability criteria for the weighted likelihood case. We derive weighted versions for two of the most widely known criteria, namely the AIC and BIG. Via a simple modification, the criteria are also made useful for window span selection. The usefulness of the weighted version of these criteria is demonstrated through a simulation study and an application to three datasets.
引用
收藏
页码:303 / 315
页数:13
相关论文
共 27 条
[1]  
Akaike H., 1973, 2 INT S INF THEOR, P268, DOI 10.1007/978-1-4612-1694-0_15
[3]  
Bozdogan H, 1994, P 1 US JAP C FRONT S, P69, DOI DOI 10.1007/978-94-011-0800-3_3
[5]   LOCALLY WEIGHTED REGRESSION - AN APPROACH TO REGRESSION-ANALYSIS BY LOCAL FITTING [J].
CLEVELAND, WS ;
DEVLIN, SJ .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1988, 83 (403) :596-610
[6]   LOCAL LINEAR-REGRESSION SMOOTHERS AND THEIR MINIMAX EFFICIENCIES [J].
FAN, JQ .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 1993, 21 (01) :196-216
[7]  
GOKHALE DV, 1978, INFORMATION CONTINGE
[8]   GENERALIZED ADDITIVE-MODELS - SOME APPLICATIONS [J].
HASTIE, T ;
TIBSHIRANI, R .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1987, 82 (398) :371-386
[9]  
HURVICH CM, 1989, BIOMETRIKA, V76, P297, DOI 10.2307/2336663
[10]  
Jeffreys H., 1961, THEORY PROBABILITY