The (in)existence of a unit root in Brazilian gross domestic product

被引:4
作者
Aguirre, A [1 ]
Ferreira, AHB [1 ]
机构
[1] UFMG, Dept Ciencias Econ, CEPE, Ctr Res Int Econ, BR-30170120 Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil
关键词
D O I
10.1080/13504850110049423
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper challenges the currently accepted view that the Brazilian GDP series is I(1). The known results of the augmented Dickey-Fuller test not rejecting the null of existence of a unit root - and the rejection of the null of stationarity obtained using an alternative test - are credited to the existence of an important structural break in the series which neither of those tests account for. A testing procedure is used here which takes into account one trend break with an endogenously determined date, and gives results which overturn the now prevailing diagnostic.
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收藏
页码:645 / 647
页数:3
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