What Factors Might Have Led to the Emergence of Ebola in West Africa?

被引:158
作者
Alexander, Kathleen A. [1 ]
Sanderson, Claire E. [1 ]
Marathe, Madav [2 ,3 ]
Lewis, Bryan L. [3 ]
Rivers, Caitlin M. [3 ]
Shaman, Jeffrey [4 ]
Drake, John M. [5 ]
Lofgren, Eric [3 ]
Dato, Virginia M. [6 ]
Eisenberg, Marisa C. [7 ,8 ]
Eubank, Stephen [3 ]
机构
[1] Virginia Tech, Dept Fisheries & Wildlife Conservat, Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA
[2] Virginia Tech, Dept Comp Sci, Blacksburg, VA USA
[3] Virginia Tech, Virginia Bioinformat Inst, Network Dynam & Simulat Sci Lab, Blacksburg, VA USA
[4] Columbia Univ, Dept Environm Hlth Sci, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, New York, NY USA
[5] Univ Georgia, Odum Sch Ecol, Athens, GA 30602 USA
[6] Univ Pittsburgh, Sch Med, Dept Biomed Informat, Pittsburgh, PA USA
[7] Univ Michigan, Dept Epidemiol, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
[8] Univ Michigan, Dept Math, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
来源
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES | 2015年 / 9卷 / 06期
基金
美国国家卫生研究院;
关键词
HEMORRHAGIC-FEVER; VIRUS-DISEASE; FRUIT BATS; OUTBREAK; CONGO; TRANSMISSION; KIKWIT; FOREST; CARE; ORGANIZATION;
D O I
10.1371/journal.pntd.0003652
中图分类号
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号
100401 ;
摘要
An Ebola outbreak of unprecedented scope emerged in West Africa in December 2013 and presently continues unabated in the countries of Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia. Ebola is not new to Africa, and outbreaks have been confirmed as far back as 1976. The current West African Ebola outbreak is the largest ever recorded and differs dramatically from prior outbreaks in its duration, number of people affected, and geographic extent. The emergence of this deadly disease in West Africa invites many questions, foremost among these: why now, and why in West Africa? Here, we review the sociological, ecological, and environmental drivers that might have influenced the emergence of Ebola in this region of Africa and its spread throughout the region. Containment of the West African Ebola outbreak is the most pressing, immediate need. A comprehensive assessment of the drivers of Ebola emergence and sustained human-to-human transmission is also needed in order to prepare other countries for importation or emergence of this disease. Such assessment includes identification of country-level protocols and interagency policies for outbreak detection and rapid response, increased understanding of cultural and traditional risk factors within and between nations, delivery of culturally embedded public health education, and regional coordination and collaboration, particularly with governments and health ministries throughout Africa. Public health education is also urgently needed in countries outside of Africa in order to ensure that risk is properly understood and public concerns do not escalate unnecessarily. To prevent future outbreaks, coordinated, multiscale, early warning systems should be developed that make full use of these integrated assessments, partner with local communities in high-risk areas, and provide clearly defined response recommendations specific to the needs of each community.
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页数:26
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