Predictors of revascularization among emergency department patients who are evaluated for acute coronary syndrome

Background: To determine, among patients who present to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndrome (ACS), predictors of short-term revascularization. Methods: A prospective descriptive trial was performed. Potential predictors for revascularization were measured by means of a questionnaire of providers, serum for cardiac biomarkers, and an initial ECG. The primary outcome of revascularization (coronary bypass graft or percutaneous intervention) was determined through a medical record review. Potential predictors of revascularization were entered into a family of logistic regressions. Results: 341 eligible subjects were enrolled, of whom 14% underwent revascularization. The predictors of revascularization included ST elevation on initial ECG (odds ratio 12.0), and an elevation in troponin I (odds ratio 8.9), CKMB (odds ratio 6.8), or myoglobin (odds ratio 4.7) on admission. When all three biomarkers competed in the same model, troponin I appeared to be the strongest predictor of short-term revascularization. Conclusion: In a single site study, among emergency department patients with symptoms suggestive of ACS, ST elevation on initial ECG and an elevation in troponin I, CK-MB, and myoglobin upon presentation all predicted short -term revascularization. Among the three biomarkers, elevation in troponin I was the strongest predictor.