Meta-analysis of survival prediction with palliative performance scale

被引:111
作者
Downing, Michael [1 ,2 ]
Lau, Francis [3 ]
Lesperance, Mary [4 ]
Karlson, Nicholas [5 ]
Shaw, Jack [6 ]
Kuziemsky, Craig [6 ]
Bernard, Steve [7 ]
Hanson, Laura [7 ]
Olajide, Lola [7 ]
Head, Barbara [8 ]
Ritchie, Christine [9 ,12 ]
Harrold, Joan [10 ]
Casarett, David [11 ]
机构
[1] Univ British Columbia, Div Palliat Care, Victoria, BC, Canada
[2] Victoria Hosp Soc, Victoria, BC, Canada
[3] Univ Victoria, Sch Hlth Informat Sci, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada
[4] Univ Victoria, Dept Math & Stat, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada
[5] Univ Victoria, Ctr Stat Consulting, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada
[6] Univ Victoria, Sch Hlth Informat Sci, Victoria, BC, Canada
[7] Univ N Carolina, Sch Med, Div Geriatr Med, Chapel Hill, NC USA
[8] Univ Louisville, Program Adv Chron Illness & End Life Care, Louisville, KY 40292 USA
[9] Univ Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL USA
[10] Hosp Lancaster Cty, Lancaster, PA USA
[11] Univ Penn, Div Geriatr Med, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[12] Univ Alabama Birmingham, VA Geriatr Res Educ & Clin Ctr, Ctr Palllit Care & Birmingham Atlanta, Birmingham, AL USA
关键词
D O I
10.1177/082585970702300402
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
This paper aims to reconcile the use of Palliative Performance Scale (PPSv2) for survival prediction in palliative care through an international collaborative study by five research groups. The study involves an individual patient data meta-analysis on 1,808 patients from four original datasets to reanalyze their survival patterns by age, gender, cancer status, and initial PPS score. Our findings reveal a strong association between PPS and survival across the four datasets. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves show each PPS level as distinct, with a strong ordering effect in which higher PPS levels are associated with increased length of survival. Using a stratified Cox proportional hazard model to adjust for study differences, we found females lived significantly longer than males, with a further decrease in hazard for females not diagnosed with cancer. Further work is needed to refine the reporting of survival times/probabilities and to improve prediction accuracy with the inclusion of other variables in the models.
引用
收藏
页码:245 / 254
页数:10
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