Predictors of alcohol and crack cocaine use outcomes over a 3-year follow-up in treatment seekers

This study identified predictors of long-term alcohol and crack cocaine use outcomes in individuals participating in the Persistent Effects of Treatment Study. The domains that were assessed included motivation, self-efficacy, social support, psychiatric severity, employment, housing status, and self-help group attendance at baseline and 6, 12, 24, and 30 month follow-ups. In alcohol users, higher perceived seriousness of substance use problems, self-efficacy, and self-help group attendance, as well as lower social support for substance use, consistently predicted better alcohol use outcomes in the subsequent assessment period. In crack cocaine users, only self-efficacy consistently predicted cocaine use outcomes. Higher self-efficacy during follow-up was predicted by lower perceived seriousness of substance use and lower alcohol use frequency in the prior assessment period, whereas greater self-help group attendance was predicted by greater perceived seriousness of substance use, and lower substance use frequency. (c) 2005 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.