The purpose of this study was to determine which tacrolimus pharmacokinetic parameters best predicted efficacy in kidney transplantation. Blood tacrolimus levels at 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 hours postdose were measured in 28 kidney transplants. All received tacrolimus-based triple-drug therapy with mychophenolate mofetil and prednisone. Associations between blood concentrations at each sampling time point and the area under the curve (AUC) 0-4 were measured by Pearson's correlation coefficients. Tacrolimus dosing was based on CO not AUC. AUC and blood concentrations at each sampling time were retrospectively compared with CO as predictor of acute rejection and nephrotoxicity. Although tacrolimus CO correlated with AUC0-4 (r = .86), correlations were higher with C2 and C3 (r = .96 and r = .94, respectively). CO levels were not significantly different in six patients with acute rejection and 23 patients without. There was a trend toward lower tacrolimus C3 in patients with AR than without AR (P = .06). C2 and C3 correlate better with AUC0-4 than C0. Early tacrolimus C3 levels may be a better than CO as a predictor of efficacy.