Comparison of the long-term outcome for patients with rheumatoid arthritis with persistent moderate disease activity or disease remission during the first year after diagnosis: data from the ESPOIR cohort

Objective To investigate if patients with early RA with persistent moderate disease activity during the first year after diagnosis have a worse 3-5 year outcome than those who achieve sustained clinical remission within the first year, in a daily life setting. Methods The ESPOIR cohort included patients with early arthritis of <6 months' duration. Treatment was the standard of care. We had 5-year follow-up data for 573 patients. This study compared patients who had persistent moderate disease activity (Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28)>3.2 and <= 5.1) at both the 6- and 12-month visits, with those who were in sustained DAS28 remission. The primary outcome was radiographic progression at the 36-month visit. Secondary endpoints were clinical remission (DAS28 score, Simplified Disease Activity Index, ACR/EULAR criteria), Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI) and number of missed workdays at months 36 and 60. A Fisher exact test was used to compare categorical variables, and the Kruskal-Wallis test for quantitative variables. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine predictors of outcome. Results Patients were aged 48.1 +/- 12.5 years and their duration of symptoms was 103.2 +/- 52.1 days. Mean baseline DAS28 was 5.1 +/- 1.3. Persistent moderate disease activity (107 patients) rather than sustained remission (155 patients) during the first year was associated with increased radiographic disease progression at 3 years (OR=1.99 (95% CI 1.01 to 3.79)), increased HAQ-DI at 3 and 5 years (5.23 (2.81 to 9.73) and 4.10 (2.16 to 7.80), respectively), a 7-11 times smaller chance of achieving clinical remission and a five times greater number of missed workdays. Conclusions Patients with early RA with persistent moderate disease activity during the first year had a worse outcome than patients who achieved sustained clinical remission. Persistent moderate disease activity affects long-term structure, remission rate and functional and work disability. Such patients may benefit from intensive treatment.