A flexible tool for model building: The Relevant Transformation of the Inputs Network Approach (RETINA)

被引:29
作者
Perez-Amaral, T [1 ]
Gallo, GM
White, H
机构
[1] Univ Complutense Madrid, Dept Anal Econ, Madrid 28223, Spain
[2] Univ Florence, Dipartimento Stat G Parenti, I-50134 Florence, Italy
[3] Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Econ, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1046/j.0305-9049.2003.00096.x
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
A new method, called Relevant Transformation of the Inputs Network Approach is proposed as a tool for model building. It is designed around flexibility (with nonlinear transformations of the predictors of interest), selective search within the range of possible models, out-of-sample forecasting ability and computational simplicity. In tests on simulated data, it shows both a high rate of successful retrieval of the data generating process, which increases with the sample size and a good performance relative to other alternative procedures. A telephone service demand model is built to show how the procedure applies on real data.
引用
收藏
页码:821 / 838
页数:18
相关论文
共 26 条
[1]  
Akaike H, 1973, 2 INT S INFORM THEOR, P199, DOI [10.1007/978-1-4612-1694-0_15, 10.1007/978-1-4612-1694-0]
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1994, TELECOMMUNICATIONS D
[3]   BETTER SUBSET REGRESSION USING THE NONNEGATIVE GARROTE [J].
BREIMAN, L .
TECHNOMETRICS, 1995, 37 (04) :373-384
[4]  
Burnham K. P., 2002, MODEL SELECTION INFE
[5]  
CAMPOS J, 2003, IN PRESS READINGS GE
[6]  
Campos J., 1999, ECONOMET J, V2, P226, DOI DOI 10.1111/1368-423X.00029
[7]   COMPARING PREDICTIVE ACCURACY [J].
DIEBOLD, FX ;
MARIANO, RS .
JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 1995, 13 (03) :253-263
[8]  
GIACOMINI R, 2003, 200309 UCSD DEP EC
[9]   SOME COMMENTS ON EVALUATION OF ECONOMIC FORECASTS [J].
GRANGER, CWJ ;
NEWBOLD, P .
APPLIED ECONOMICS, 1973, 5 (01) :35-47
[10]   COMMENTS ON TESTING ECONOMIC-THEORIES AND THE USE OF MODEL SELECTION CRITERIA [J].
GRANGER, CWJ ;
KING, ML ;
WHITE, H .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1995, 67 (01) :173-187