Communications and economic growth

被引：12

作者：

Dudley, L ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Montreal, Dept Econ, Montreal, PQ H3C 3J7, Canada

[2] Univ Montreal, CRDE, Montreal, PQ H3C 3J7, Canada

来源：

EUROPEAN ECONOMIC REVIEW | 1999年 / 43卷 / 03期

关键词：

communications technology; economic growth; economic cycles; information technology; Europe;

D O I：

10.1016/S0014-2921(97)00129-3

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

Over the past millennium, each of the three centuries of most rapid demographic growth in the West coincided with the diffusion of a new communications technology. This paper examines the hypothesis of Harold Innis (1894-1952) that there is two-way feedback between such innovations and economic growth. First, detailed historical evidence is studied. Second, Innis's ideas are translated into a formal growth model. Finally, the model is simulated and its predictions compared with historical data. The results suggest a technological explanation for the long cycles of the period 1000-1975 and for the puzzling productivity growth slowdown in industrialized countries after 1975. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：595 / 619

页数：25

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