The cause-and-effect relationship of solar cycle length and the Northern Hemisphere air surface temperature

被引:8
作者
Reichel, R
Thejll, P
Lassen, K
机构
[1] Univ Erlangen Nurnberg, Dept Econ, D-90403 Nurnberg, Germany
[2] Danish Meteorol Inst, Solar Terr Phys Div, DK-2100 Copenhagen O, Denmark
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2001JA900027
中图分类号
P1 [天文学];
学科分类号
0704 ;
摘要
It has previously been demonstrated that the mean land air temperature of the Northern Hemisphere could adequately be associated with a long-term variation of solar activity as given by the length of the approximately Ii-year solar cycle. In this paper it is shown that the right cause-and-effect ordering, in the sense of Granger causality, is present between the smoothed solar cycle length and the cycle mean of Northern Hemisphere land air temperature for the twentieth century, at the 99% significance level. This indicates the existence of a physical mechanism linking solar activity to climate variations.
引用
收藏
页码:15635 / 15641
页数:7
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