Valid confidence intervals and inference in the presence of weak instruments

被引:64
作者
Zivot, E [1 ]
Startz, R [1 ]
Nelson, CR [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Washington, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
关键词
D O I
10.2307/2527355
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We investigate confidence intervals and inference for the instrumental variables model with weak instruments. Confidence intervals based on inverting the LM, LR, and Anderson-Rubin statistics perform far better than the Wald. Performance of the LM and LR statistics is improved by a degrees-of-freedom correction in the overidentified case. The practice of 'pre-testing' by looking at the significance of the first-stage regression and then making inference based on the LM or LR statistics leads to better results than pre-testing and using the Wald statistic.
引用
收藏
页码:1119 / 1144
页数:26
相关论文
共 36 条
[1]   ESTIMATION OF THE PARAMETERS OF A SINGLE EQUATION IN A COMPLETE SYSTEM OF STOCHASTIC EQUATIONS [J].
ANDERSON, TW ;
RUBIN, H .
ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1949, 20 (01) :46-63
[2]  
ANDERSON TW, 1950, STAT INFERENCE DYNAM
[3]   DOES COMPULSORY SCHOOL ATTENDANCE AFFECT SCHOOLING AND EARNINGS [J].
ANGRIST, JD ;
KRUEGER, AB .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1991, 106 (04) :979-1014
[4]  
ANGRIST JD, 1992, J AM STAT ASSOC, V87, P328
[5]  
[Anonymous], 1989, NBER MACROECONOMICS
[6]  
[Anonymous], 1988, Nonlinear regression analysis and its applications
[8]   PROBLEMS WITH INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATION WHEN THE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE INSTRUMENTS AND THE ENDOGENOUS EXPLANATORY VARIABLE IS WEAK [J].
BOUND, J ;
JAEGER, DA ;
BAKER, RM .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1995, 90 (430) :443-450
[9]  
Bowden RJ., 1984, INSTRUMENTAL VARIABL
[10]  
COOK RD, 1990, J AM STAT ASSOC, V85, P545