The quest for "power": Contradictory hypotheses and inflated sample sizes

被引:10
作者
Feinstein, AR
Concato, J
机构
[1] Yale Univ, Sch Med, Dept Med, New Haven, CT 06510 USA
[2] Yale Univ, Sch Med, Dept Epidemiol, New Haven, CT 06510 USA
[3] W Haven Vet Affairs Med Ctr, W Haven, CT USA
关键词
statistical significance; Neyman-Pearson; clinical trials; sample sizes; power;
D O I
10.1016/S0895-4356(98)00029-8
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
To have the "power" of avoiding undersized clinical trials, the customary statistical strategy used in the past few decades is aimed at rejecting both a null stochastic hypothesis and a contradictory alternative hypothesis. This approach gives a trial the "power" to confirm the "insignificance" of differences much smaller than the large value of delta desired in trials done to show efficacy. In many instances, however, a prime problem is that the current "double-significance" approach produces sample sizes 2-3 times larger than needed for stochastic confirmation of large differences (greater than or equal to delta). The inflated sample sizes and consequent problems can be avoided if a realistic value for delta is chosen and maintained thereafter, and if an adequate "capacity" is calculated for "single significance." (C) 1998 Elsevier Science Inc.
引用
收藏
页码:537 / 545
页数:9
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