Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020

被引：742

作者：

Riou, Julien ^{[1
]}

Althaus, Christian L. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Bern, Inst Social & Prevent Med, Bern, Switzerland

来源：

EUROSURVEILLANCE | 2020年 / 25卷 / 04期

基金：

瑞士国家科学基金会;

关键词：

D O I：

10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058

中图分类号：

R51 [传染病];

学科分类号：

100401 ;

摘要：

Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number Ro of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4-3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.

引用

页码：7 / 11

页数：5

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