Scaling the volatility of GDP growth rates

被引:98
作者
Canning, D [1 ]
Amaral, LAN
Lee, Y
Meyer, M
Stanley, HE
机构
[1] Queens Univ Belfast, Belfast, Antrim, North Ireland
[2] Harvard Univ, Inst Int Dev, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] Boston Univ, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[4] MIT, Boston, MA USA
关键词
real business cycles; country size; scale effects; volatility; network models;
D O I
10.1016/S0165-1765(98)00121-9
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The distribution of shocks to GDP growth rates is found to be exponential rather than normal. Their standard deviation scales with GDP(beta) where beta = -0.15 +/- 0.03. These macroeconomic results place restrictions on the microeconomic structure of interactions between agents. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science S.A.
引用
收藏
页码:335 / 341
页数:7
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