Simulation of climate response to aerosol direct and indirect effects with aerosol transport-radiation model

被引:492
作者
Takemura, T
Nozawa, T
Emori, S
Nakajima, TY
Nakajima, T
机构
[1] Kyushu Univ, Appl Mech Res Inst, Fukuoka 8168580, Japan
[2] Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan
[3] Japan Aerosp Explorat Agcy, Earth Observ Res Ctr, Chuo Ku, Tokyo 1046023, Japan
[4] Univ Tokyo, Ctr Climate Syst Res, Meguro Ku, Tokyo 1538904, Japan
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2004JD005029
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
[ 1] With a global aerosol transport-radiation model coupled to a general circulation model, changes in the meteorological parameters of clouds, precipitation, and temperature caused by the direct and indirect effects of aerosols are simulated, and its radiative forcing are calculated. A microphysical parameterization diagnosing the cloud droplet number concentration based on the Kohler theory is introduced into the model, which depends not only on the aerosol particle number concentration but also on the updraft velocity, size distributions, and chemical properties of each aerosol species and saturation condition of the water vapor. The simulated cloud droplet effective radius, cloud radiative forcing, and precipitation rate, which relate to the aerosol indirect effect, are in reasonable agreement with satellite observations. The model results indicate that a decrease in the cloud droplet effective radius by anthropogenic aerosols occurs globally, while changes in the cloud water and precipitation are strongly affected by a variation of the dynamical hydrological cycle with a temperature change by the aerosol direct and first indirect effects rather than the second indirect effect itself. However, the cloud water can increase and the precipitation can simultaneously decrease in regions where a large amount of anthropogenic aerosols and cloud water exist, which is a strong signal of the second indirect effect. The global mean radiative forcings of the direct and indirect effects at the tropopause by anthropogenic aerosols are calculated to be -0.1 and -0.9 W m(-2), respectively. It is suggested that aerosol particles approximately reduce 40% of the increase in the surface air temperature by anthropogenic greenhouse gases on the global mean.
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页码:1 / 16
页数:16
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