Modelling the incidence of measles in Canada: an assessment of the options for vaccination policy

A range of vaccination policy options for improving the control of measles in Canada is investigated using a mathematical model to simulate transmission of the disease. Results suggest that a catch up campaign giving a second dose of vaccine to children aged up to 18 years would have an immediate impact on transmission, which could be maintained by the introduction of a routine second dose at either 18 months or 5 years of age. Introducing a routine second dose of vaccine without a catch up campaign would allow continued endemic transmission of measles among older children for at least 10-15 years. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.