A study on methods of estimating the population size of men who have sex with men in Southwest China

被引:29
作者
Luan, RS
Zeng, G
Zhang, DP
Luo, L
Yuan, P
Liang, BH
Li, Y
机构
[1] Sichuan Univ, W China Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing, Peoples R China
关键词
men who have sex with men (MSM); population size estimate; capture--recapture method; multiplier method;
D O I
10.1007/s10654-005-4305-4
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
Objective: To ascertain practical methods of estimating the population size of men who have sex with men (MSM) by field application. Methods: Nine public places were selected, where men who have sex with men (MSM) frequented. Capture--recapture method and multiplier method were used to count the number of men who have sex with men (MSM) in the assigned places in 10 days. Results: The population size estimated using multiplier method counted 877. Three estimates produced by capture--recapture method were 1408 (95% CI: 1116--1908), 1207 (95% CI: 932--1712) and 949 (95% CI: 757--1272), respectively. Conclusions: Multiplier method was easy and smooth in practice and produced highly reliable results, which yet was expensive. The application of capture--recapture method cost less in both time and funds, and the three results produced could verify each other, which was fit for the estimation.
引用
收藏
页码:581 / 585
页数:5
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