Wicksellian theory of forest rotation under interest rate variability

被引:14
作者
Alvarez, LHR [1 ]
Koskela, E
机构
[1] Turku Sch Econ & Business Adm, Dept Econ Quantitat Methods Management, FIN-20500 Turku, Finland
[2] Univ Helsinki, Dept Econ, FIN-00014 Helsinki, Finland
[3] IZA, Bonn, Germany
[4] CESifo, Munich, Germany
基金
芬兰科学院;
关键词
Wicksellian rotation; stochastic interest rates; optimal stopping; free boundary problems;
D O I
10.1016/j.jedc.2004.03.002
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We apply the Wicksellian single rotation framework to cover the unexplored case of variable and stochastic interest rate. We provide a mathematical characterization of the two-dimensional optimal stopping problem and show in the presence of amenity valuation that increased interest-rate volatility lengthens the optimal rotation period and increases the value of the optimal policy. By modelling the interest rate as a mean reverting process and forest value as a geometric Brownian motion and abstracting from amenity valuation, we present an explicit solution for the problem. Numerical illustrations indicate that interest-rate volatility has a significant and non-linear impact on optimal rotation. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:527 / 543
页数:17
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