A neural network approach to mutual fund net asset value forecasting

被引:102
作者
Chiang, WC [1 ]
Urban, TL [1 ]
Baldridge, GW [1 ]
机构
[1] WORLDCOM INC,TULSA,OK
来源
OMEGA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE | 1996年 / 24卷 / 02期
关键词
forecasting; neural networks; mutual funds;
D O I
10.1016/0305-0483(95)00059-3
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
In this paper, an artificial neural network method is applied to forecast the end-of-year net asset value (NAV) of mutual funds. The back-propagation neural network is identified and explained. Historical economic information is used for the prediction of NAV data. The results of the forecasting are compared to those of traditional econometric techniques (i.e. linear and nonlinear regression analysis), and it Is shown that neural networks significantly outperform regression models in situations with limited data availability, Copyright (C) 1996 Elsevier Science Ltd
引用
收藏
页码:205 / 215
页数:11
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