Predictability of oxygen desaturation during sleep in patients with cystic fibrosis - Clinical, spirometric, and exercise parameters

Background: The purpose of this study was to determine how common sleep-related desaturation with preserved awake resting pulse oximetric saturation (SpO(2)) was in a large cohort of adult cystic fibrosis (CF) patients with variable degrees of pulmonary disease. We then determined whether nocturnal desaturation could reliably be predicted from standard clinical and exercise parameters. Methods: Seventy CF patients participated in the study (mean [SD] age, 27.3 [8.7] years; women, 54%; percent predicted FEV1 [%predFEV(1)], 55.7% [23.9%]). Nocturnal, resting, and exercise SpO(2) were measured. Nocturnal oximetry was measured in the patient's home. Maximal oxygen capacity ((V) over dot O(2)max) was determined from a graded exercise test on a stationary bicycle ergometer. The Shwachman-Kulczycki (S-K) illness severity score was calculated incorporating categories of functional capacity, physical examination, nutrition, and chest radiograph. Results: Multivariate analysis reported significant differences (p < 0.0001) between pulmonary disease severity and overall distribution of nocturnal SpO(2), with the main difference being for patients with severe pulmonary disease (%predFEV(1), of < 50%) compared to patients with mild or moderate disease in the SpO(2) intervals of 100 to 96% (p < 0.0001) and 90 to 86% (p = 0.0001). Pulmonary function, S-K clinical scores, (V) over dot O(2)max, and resting and maximal SpO(2) correlated significantly (p < 0.03) with nocturnal SpO(2) levels. Stepwise discriminant analysis identified %predFEV(1) (or S-K scores) and resting SpO(2) as the parameters that could best discriminate patients not likely to experience nocturnal desaturation. Specifically, our equation could predict 91% of cases less likely to nocturnally desaturate, but could only modestly predict those more likely to desaturate (ie, 26% of cases). Conclusions: Spirometric parameters and measurements of awake resting oxygenation are of limited utility in predicting nocturnal desaturation. Nocturnal oximetry should be considered in patients with moderate to severe lung disease even with preserved awake resting SpO(2).