Modeling ocean heat content changes during the last millennium

被引:96
作者
Crowley, TJ [1 ]
Baum, SK
Kim, KY
Hegerl, GC
Hyde, WT
机构
[1] Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm & Earth Sci, Div Earth & Ocean Sci, Durham, NC USA
[2] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Oceanog, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
[3] Florida State Univ, Dept Meteorol, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2003GL017801
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
[1] Observational studies show a significant increase in ocean heat content over the last half century. Herein we estimate heat content changes during the last millennium with a climate model whose forcing terms have been best-fit to surface proxy data. The model simulates the observed late 20th century ocean heat content increase and a comparable Little Ice Age minimum. When glacial advances are factored in, these results imply a sea level fall after the Middle Ages that is consistent with some geologic data. The present ocean heat content increase can be traced back to the mid-19th century, with a near-linear rate of change during the 20th century.
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页数:4
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