Flood fatalities in Africa: From diagnosis to mitigation

被引:283
作者
Di Baldassarre, Giuliano [1 ]
Montanari, Alberto [2 ]
Lins, Harry [3 ]
Koutsoyiannis, Demetris [4 ]
Brandimarte, Luigia [5 ]
Bloeschl, Guenter [6 ]
机构
[1] UNESCO IHE, Dept Hydroinformat & Knowledge Management, NL-2601 DA Delft, Netherlands
[2] Univ Bologna, DISTART, I-40136 Bologna, Italy
[3] US Geol Survey, Reston, VA 20192 USA
[4] Natl Tech Univ Athens, Dept Water Resources, GR-15780 Athens, Greece
[5] UNESCO IHE, Dept Water Engn, NL-2601 DA Delft 334, Netherlands
[6] Vienna Univ Technol, Inst Hydraul & Water Resources Engn, A-1040 Vienna, Austria
关键词
CLIMATE-CHANGE; TRENDS;
D O I
10.1029/2010GL045467
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Flood-related fatalities in Africa, as well as associated economic losses, have increased dramatically over the past half-century. There is a growing global concern about the need to identify the causes for such increased flood damages. To this end, we analyze a large, consistent and reliable data-set of floods in Africa. Identification of causes is not easy given the diverse economic settings, demographic distribution and hydro-climatic conditions of the African continent. On the other hand, many African river basins have a relatively low level of human disturbance and, therefore, provide a unique opportunity to analyze climatic effects on floods. We find that intensive and unplanned human settlements in flood-prone areas appears to be playing a major role in increasing flood risk. Timely and economically sustainable actions, such as the discouragement of human settlements in flood-prone areas and the introduction of early warning systems are, therefore, urgently needed. Citation: Di Baldassarre, G., A. Montanari, H. Lins, D. Koutsoyiannis, L. Brandimarte, and G. Bloschl (2010), Flood fatalities in Africa: From diagnosis to mitigation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L22402, doi: 10.1029/2010GL045467.
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页数:5
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