Transvaginal ultrasound and digital examination in predicting successful labor induction

Objective: To compare transvaginal ultrasound and digital cervical examination in predicting successful induction in post-term pregnancy. Methods: Transvaginal ultrasound and digital vaginal examinations were performed on 122 women at 41 or more weeks' gestation, immediately before labor induction. Ultrasound assessments of cervical length, dilatation, and presence of funneling were compared with the components of the Bishop score. The primary outcome was the rate of vaginal delivery. Secondary outcomes assessed included the rates of active labor in 12 hours, vaginal delivery in 12 and 24 hours, mean duration of latent phase, and induction to vaginal delivery interval. Linear and multiple logistic regression models were generated to identify factors independently associated with successful induction. Results: No ultrasound characteristic predicted primary or secondary outcomes. Bishop score (odds ratio [OR] 2.98, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.71, 5.20), cervical position (OR 4.35, 95% CI 1.41, 12.50), and maternal age (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.01, 1.30) independently predicted vaginal delivery. Maternal weight (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.94, 0.98), cervical dilatation (OR 6.08, 95% CI 1.70, 21.68), and effacement (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.16, 4.73) independently predicted active labor in 12 hours. Independent predictors of vaginal delivery in 12 hours were induction method (P < .001), cervical dilatation (OR 11.16, 95% CI 3.17, 39.29), gravidity (OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.13, 3.77), and maternal weight (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.93, 0.99). Cervical effacement (OR 2.70, 95% CI 1.59, 4.57) and parity (OR 7.10, 95% CI 2.22, 22.72) independently predicted vaginal delivery in 24 hours. Maternal weight, cervical position, and cervical dilatation were independently associated with latent phase labor duration. Factors independently associated with length of induction to delivery interval were parity, cervical effacement, and maternal weight. Conclusion: Transvaginal ultrasound does not predict successful labor induction in post-term pregnancy as well as digital cervical examination. (C) 2001 by the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists.