Explaining national road fatalities

被引：37

作者：

Bester, CJ ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Stellenbosch, Dept Civil Engn, ZA-7602 Matieland, South Africa

来源：

ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION | 2001年 / 33卷 / 05期

关键词：

fatalities; models; national; regression; road;

D O I：

10.1016/S0001-4575(00)00081-6

中图分类号：

TB18 [人体工程学];

学科分类号：

1201 ;

摘要：

The purpose of this paper is to report on a model that can be used to explain the differences in road fatalities of individual countries. National infrastructure, transportation and socio-economic variables from international databases were considered as possible variables. The model was developed by means of stepwise regression analyses. It was found that the passenger car ownership is a better predictor of fatalities per 100000 passenger cars than vehicle ownership as a predictor of fatalities per 100000 vehicles. Many individual infrastructure and socio-economic variables have a significant effect on the fatality rate. The final model includes passenger car ownership, the Human Development Index (HDI). and the percentage of other vehicles as explanatory variables. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：663 / 672

页数：10