Clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity

被引:651
作者
Bony, Sandrine [1 ]
Stevens, Bjorn [2 ]
Frierson, Dargan M. W. [3 ]
Jakob, Christian [4 ]
Kageyama, Masa [5 ]
Pincus, Robert [6 ,7 ]
Shepherd, Theodore G. [8 ]
Sherwood, Steven C. [9 ,10 ]
Siebesma, A. Pier [11 ]
Sobel, Adam H. [12 ]
Watanabe, Masahiro [13 ]
Webb, Mark J. [14 ]
机构
[1] Univ Paris 06, LMD IPSL, CNRS, UMR 8539, F-75252 Paris, France
[2] Max Planck Inst Meteorol, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
[3] Univ Washington, Dept Atmospher Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[4] Monash Univ, Sch Math Sci, Clayton, Vic, Australia
[5] CEA CNRS UVSQ, LSCE IPSL, UMR 8212, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France
[6] Univ Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
[7] NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Div Phys Sci, Boulder, CO 80305 USA
[8] Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading RG6 6BB, Berks, England
[9] Univ New S Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia
[10] Univ New S Wales, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Syst Sci, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia
[11] KNMI, NL-3730 AE De Bilt, Netherlands
[12] Columbia Univ, Dept Appl Phys & Appl Math, New York, NY 10027 USA
[13] Univ Tokyo, Atmosphere & Ocean Res Inst, Chiba 2778568, Japan
[14] Hadley Ctr, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
SELF-AGGREGATION; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; PHYSICAL-MECHANISMS; CONVECTION; MODELS; SIMULATION; FEEDBACKS; RADIATION; IMPACT; BIASES;
D O I
10.1038/NGEO2398
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Fundamental puzzles of climate science remain unsolved because of our limited understanding of how clouds, circulation and climate interact. One example is our inability to provide robust assessments of future global and regional climate changes. However, ongoing advances in our capacity to observe, simulate and conceptualize the climate system now make it possible to fill gaps in our knowledge. We argue that progress can be accelerated by focusing research on a handful of important scientific questions that have become tractable as a result of recent advances. We propose four such questions below; they involve understanding the role of cloud feedbacks and convective organization in climate, and the factors that control the position, the strength and the variability of the tropical rain belts and the extratropical storm tracks.
引用
收藏
页码:261 / 268
页数:8
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