Scientific reticence and sea level rise

被引：141

作者：

Hansen, J. E. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA

来源：

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2007年 / 2卷 / 02期

关键词：

sea level; global warming; glaciology; ice sheets;

D O I：

10.1088/1748-9326/2/2/024002

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

I suggest that a 'scientific reticence' is inhibiting the communication of a threat of a potentially large sea level rise. Delay is dangerous because of system inertias that could create a situation with future sea level changes out of our control. I argue for calling together a panel of scientific leaders to hear evidence and issue a prompt plain-written report on current understanding of the sea level change issue.

引用

页数：6

共 52 条

[1]

AXTELL RL, 2006, 0601 AEI BROOK JOINT

[2] RESISTANCE BY SCIENTISTS TO SCIENTIFIC DISCOVERY - THIS SOURCE OF RESISTANCE HAS YET TO BE GIVEN SCRUTINY ACCORDED RELIGIOUS AND IDEOLOGICAL SOURCES [J].

BARBER, B .

SCIENCE, 1961, 134 (347) :596-&

[3] GEOCHRONOLOGICAL EVIDENCE SUPPORTING ANTARCTIC DEGLACIATION 3 MILLION YEARS AGO [J].

BARRETT, PJ ;

ADAMS, CJ ;

MCINTOSH, WC ;

SWISHER, CC ;

WILSON, GS .

NATURE, 1992, 359 (6398) :816-818

[4] How fast are the ice sheets melting? [J].

Cazenave, Anny .

SCIENCE, 2006, 314 (5803) :1250-1252

[5] Satellite gravity measurements confirm accelerated melting of Greenland ice sheet [J].

Chen, J. L. ;

Wilson, C. R. ;

Tapley, B. D. .

SCIENCE, 2006, 313 (5795) :1958-1960

[6] Pliocene climates: The nature of the problem [J].

Crowley, TJ .

MARINE MICROPALEONTOLOGY, 1996, 27 (1-4) :3-12

[7] Snowfall-driven growth in East Antarctic ice sheet mitigates recent sea-level rise [J].

Davis, CH ;

Li, YH ;

McConnell, JR ;

Frey, MM ;

Hanna, E .

SCIENCE, 2005, 308 (5730) :1898-1901

[8] JOINT INVESTIGATIONS OF THE MIDDLE PLIOCENE CLIMATE .1. PRISM PALEOENVIRONMENTAL RECONSTRUCTIONS [J].

DOWSETT, H ;

THOMPSON, R ;

BARRON, J ;

CRONIN, T ;

FLEMING, F ;

ISHMAN, S ;

POORE, R ;

WILLARD, D ;

HOLTZ, T .

GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE, 1994, 9 (3-4) :169-195

[9] Middle Pliocene sea surface temperatures: A global reconstruction [J].

Dowsett, H ;

Barron, J ;

Poore, R .

MARINE MICROPALEONTOLOGY, 1996, 27 (1-4) :13-25

[10] POLLUTION PROBLEMS, RESOURCE POLICY, AND SCIENTIST [J].

EIPPER, AW .

SCIENCE, 1970, 169 (3940) :11-&

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 →