The second generation of the California urban futures model. Part 2: Specification and calibration results of the land-use change submodel

被引:85
作者
Landis, J [1 ]
Zhang, M [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept City & Reg Planning, Coll Environm Design, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
关键词
Land use; Methodology; Planning method; Spatial analysis; Urban planning;
D O I
10.1068/b250795
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In this paper, part 2 of a three-part series, we present the formal specification and calibration results of the land-use change component of the second-generation California urban futures model. The land-use change component consists of a series of nonordinal multinomial legit models of site-specific land-use changes. These models incorporate spatial measures (for example, mix of adjacent land uses, and proximity to similar activities) as well as local policy and accessibility measures. Various model forms are developed and explained, as are multiple approaches to evaluating the equation for goodness-of-fit.
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页码:795 / 824
页数:30
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