Predicting graft-versus-host disease in HLA-identical bone marrow transplants - A comparison of T-cell frequency analysis and a human skin explant model

Background. Graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) occurring after HLA-identical sibling bone marrow transplantation (BMT) is considered to be mainly caused by minor histocompatibility antigen (mHag) disparities between the recipient and donor. In our laboratory, a human skin explant model has been successfully used to predict acute GVHD in HLA-identical sibling BMT. More recently, the frequency analysis of host-reactive helper and cytotoxic T lymphocyte precursors (HTLp and CTLp, respectively) has been shown to have potential application for predicting GVHD. In the present study, HTLp, and CTLp frequency analysis and the skin explant model were directly compared for their ability to predict acute GVHD in HLA-identical sibling BMT. Methods. Host-reactive HTLp and CTLp frequencies were determined using a combined limiting dilution assay. A human skin explant model was used to detect graft-versus-host reactions in vitro. The results from the skin explant model (graft-versus-host reaction grades I-IV) and T cell frequency analysis (>/< 1:100,000) were correlated with posttransplant GVHD outcome, respectively. Results. The skin explant model correctly predicted GVHD outcome in 77% of cases (P=0.03). HTLp frequencies were very low in all patient/donor pairs tested. None of them exceeded 1:100,000, although 9/18 recipients developed GVHD (greater than or equal to clinical grade II) after transplant. In all patients tested, the relationship between either high (>1:100,000) or low (<1:100,000) CTLp frequency and occurrence of GVHD appeared to be random (P=1.0). Conclusions. HTLp and CTLp, frequency analysis did not predict the occurrence of acute GVHD after HLA-identical sibling BMT. The human skin explant model, however, remained an accurate indicator of acute GVHD and probably detects mHag disparities.