Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility

被引:603
作者
Bollerslev, T [1 ]
Mikkelsen, HO [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV SO CALIF, SCH BUSINESS ADM, LOS ANGELES, CA 90089 USA
关键词
fractional integrated EGARCH; mean reversion; model selection; stock market volatility; option pricing;
D O I
10.1016/0304-4076(95)01736-4
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
A new class of fractionally integrated GARCH and EGARCH models for characterizing financial market volatility is discussed. Monte Carlo simulations illustrate the reliability of quasi maximum likelihood estimation methods, standard model selection criteria, and residual-based portmanteau diagnostic tests in this context, New empirical evidence suggests that the apparent long-run dependence in U.S. stock market volatility is best described by a mean-reverting fractionally integrated process, so that a shock to the optimal forecast of the future conditional variance dissipate at a slow hyperbolic rate. The asset pricing implications of this finding is illustrated via the implementation of various option pricing formula.
引用
收藏
页码:151 / 184
页数:34
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