Renal dysfunction as a risk factor for mortality and cardiovascular disease in renal transplantation:: Experience from the Assessment of Lescol in Renal Transplantation trial

Background. Renal-transplant recipients have shortened life expectancy primarily because of premature cardiovascular disease. Traditional and nontraditional risk factors for cardiovascular disease are prevalent in renal patients. In renal-transplant recipients, immunosuppressive therapy can be nephrotoxic and aggravate cardiovascular disease risk factors. Renal dysfunction has been established as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease and mortality in different populations. We evaluated the effects of baseline renal-transplant function on mortality and cardiovascular and renal endpoints in 1,052 placebo-treated patients of the Assessment of Lescol in Renal Transplantation trial. Methods. All renal-transplant recipients were on cyclosporine-based immunosuppressive therapy. Follow-up was 5 to 6 years, and endpoints included cardiac death, noncardiovascular death, all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiac event (MACE), stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and graft loss. Results. Baseline serum creatinine was strongly and independently associated with increased cardiac, noncardiovascular, and all-cause mortality, as well as MACE and graft loss. Serum creatinine was not a risk factor for stroke or nonfatal myocardial infarction. Conclusions. Elevated baseline serum creatinine in renal-transplant recipients is a strong and independent risk factor for all-cause, noncardiovascular and cardiac mortality, MACE, and graft loss.