The greater ability of graphical versus numerical displays to increase risk avoidance involves a common mechanism

被引:63
作者
Schirillo, JA [1 ]
Stone, ER [1 ]
机构
[1] Wake Forest Univ, Dept Psychol, Winston Salem, NC 27109 USA
关键词
decision making; risk communication; risk perception;
D O I
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00624.x
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
By displaying a risk reduction of 50% graphically rather than numerically, Stone, Yates, and Parker significantly increased professed risk-avoidant behavior. The current experiments replicated this effect at various risk ratios. Specifically, participants were willing to spend more money to reduce a risk when the risk information was displayed by asterisks rather than by numbers for risk-reduction ratios ranging from 3% to 97%. Transforming the amount participants were willing to spend to logarithms significantly improved a linear fit to the data, suggesting that participants convert this variable within the decision-making process. Moreover, a log-linear model affords an exceptional fit to both the graphical and numerical data, suggesting that a graphical presentation elicits the same decision-making mechanism as does the numerical display. In addition, the data also suggest that each person removed from harm is weighted more by some additional factor in the graphical compared to the numerical presentations.
引用
收藏
页码:555 / 566
页数:12
相关论文
共 21 条
[1]   Verbal and numerical expressions of probability: "It's a fifty-fifty chance" [J].
de Bruin, WB ;
Fischhoff, B ;
Millstein, SG ;
Halpern-Felsher, BL .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES, 2000, 81 (01) :115-131
[2]  
Fischhoff B, 1999, J BEHAV DECIS MAKING, V12, P149, DOI 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0771(199906)12:2<149::AID-BDM314>3.0.CO
[3]  
2-J
[4]   COMMUNICATING RISK UNDER TITLE-III OF SARA - STRATEGIES FOR EXPLAINING VERY SMALL RISKS IN A COMMUNITY CONTEXT [J].
FISHER, A ;
MCCLELLAND, GH ;
SCHULZE, WD .
JAPCA-THE JOURNAL OF THE AIR & WASTE MANAGEMENT ASSOCIATION, 1989, 39 (03) :271-276
[5]   USING STATISTICAL RISK INFORMATION TO ASSESS ORAL-CONTRACEPTIVE SAFETY [J].
HALPERN, DF ;
BLACKMAN, S ;
SALZMAN, B .
APPLIED COGNITIVE PSYCHOLOGY, 1989, 3 (03) :251-260
[6]  
Jarvenpaa S. L., 1990, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, V3, P247, DOI 10.1002/bdm.3960030403
[7]   PROSPECT THEORY - ANALYSIS OF DECISION UNDER RISK [J].
KAHNEMAN, D ;
TVERSKY, A .
ECONOMETRICA, 1979, 47 (02) :263-291
[8]   THE DISCRIMINATION OF VISUAL NUMBER [J].
KAUFMAN, EL ;
LORD, MW ;
REESE, TW ;
VOLKMANN, J .
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PSYCHOLOGY, 1949, 62 (04) :498-525
[9]   IMPROVING RISK COMMUNICATION [J].
KEENEY, RL ;
VONWINTERFELDT, D .
RISK ANALYSIS, 1986, 6 (04) :417-424
[10]  
Kleinbaum DavidG., 1978, APPL REGRESSION ANAL