Will generalist physician supply meet demands of an increasing and aging population?

被引：232

作者：

Collwill, Jack M. ^{[1
]}

Cultice, James M. ^{[2
]}

Kruse, Robin L. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Missouri, Columbia, MO 65211 USA

[2] Bur Hlth Profess Hlth Resources & Serv Adm, US Dept HHS, Rockville, MD USA

来源：

HEALTH AFFAIRS | 2008年 / 27卷 / 03期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1377/hlthaff.27.3.w232

中图分类号：

R19 [保健组织与事业（卫生事业管理）];

学科分类号：

摘要：

We predict that population growth and aging will increase family physicians' and general internists' workloads by 29 percent between 2005 and 2025. We expect a 13 percent increased workload for care of children by pediatricians and family physicians. However, the supply of generalists for adult care, adjusted for age and sex, will increase 7 percent, or only 2 percent if the number of graduates continues to decline through 2008. We expect deficits of 35,000-44,000 adult care generalists, although the supply for care of children should be adequate. These forces threaten the nation's foundation of primary care for adults.

引用

页码：W232 / W241

页数：10