Spatial and temporal patterns of mass bleaching of corals in the Anthropocene

被引：1519

作者：

Hughes, Terry P. ^{[1
]}

Anderson, Kristen D. ^{[1
]}

Connolly, Sean R. ^{[1
,2
]}

Heron, Scott F. ^{[3
,4
]}

Kerry, James T. ^{[1
]}

Lough, Janice M. ^{[1
,5
]}

Baird, Andrew H. ^{[1
]}

Baum, Julia K. ^{[6
]}

Berumen, Michael L. ^{[7
]}

Bridge, Tom C. ^{[1
,8
]}

Claar, Danielle C. ^{[6
]}

Eakin, C. Mark ^{[3
]}

Gilmour, James P. ^{[9
]}

Graham, Nicholas A. J. ^{[1
,10
]}

Harrison, Hugo ^{[1
]}

Hobbs, Jean-Paul A. ^{[11
]}

Hoey, Andrew S. ^{[1
]}

Hoogenboom, Mia ^{[1
,2
]}

Lowe, Ryan J. ^{[12
,13
]}

McCulloch, Malcolm T. ^{[12
,13
]}

Pandolfi, John M. ^{[14
]}

Pratchett, Morgan ^{[1
]}

Schoepf, Verena ^{[12
,13
]}

Torda, Gergely ^{[1
,5
]}

Wilson, Shaun K. ^{[15
]}

机构：

[1] James Cook Univ, ARC, Ctr Excellence Coral Reef Studies, Townsville, Qld 4811, Australia

[2] James Cook Univ, Coll Marine & Environm Sci, Townsville, Qld 4811, Australia

[3] US Natl Ocean & Atmospher Adm, Coral Reef Watch, College Pk, MD 20740 USA

[4] James Cook Univ, Marine Geophys Lab, Dept Phys, Coll Sci Technol & Engn, Townsville, Qld 4811, Australia

[5] Australian Inst Marine Sci, PMB 3, Townsville, Qld 4810, Australia

[6] Univ Victoria, Dept Biol, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada

[7] King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol, Red Sea Res Ctr, Thuwal 235996900, Saudi Arabia

[8] Queensland Museum, 70-102 Flinders St, Townsville, Qld 4810, Australia

[9] Univ Western Australia, Australian Inst Marine Sci, Indian Ocean Marine Sci Ctr, Perth, WA 6009, Australia

[10] Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Environm Ctr, Lancaster LA1 4YQ, England

[11] Curtin Univ, Dept Environm & Agr, Perth, WA 6845, Australia

[12] Univ Western Australia, ARC Ctr Excellence Coral Reef Studies, UWA Oceans Inst, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia

[13] Univ Western Australia, Sch Earth Sci, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia

[14] Univ Queensland, ARC Ctr Excellence Coral Reef Studies, Sch Biol Sci, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia

[15] Dept Biodivers Conservat & Attract, Perth, WA 6151, Australia

来源：

SCIENCE | 2018年 / 359卷 / 6371期

基金：

澳大利亚研究理事会;

关键词：

CLIMATE-CHANGE; REEF; RECOVERY; IMPACTS; STRESS; GROWTH; TRENDS;

D O I：

10.1126/science.aan8048

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Tropical reef systems are transitioning to a new era in which the interval between recurrent bouts of coral bleaching is too short for a full recovery of mature assemblages. We analyzed bleaching records at 100 globally distributed reef locations from 1980 to 2016. The median return time between pairs of severe bleaching events has diminished steadily since 1980 and is now only 6 years. As global warming has progressed, tropical sea surface temperatures are warmer now during current La Nina conditions than they were during El Nino events three decades ago. Consequently, as we transition to the Anthropocene, coral bleaching is occurring more frequently in all El Nino-Southern Oscillation phases, increasing the likelihood of annual bleaching in the coming decades.

引用

页码：80 / +

页数：4

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