The Emerging Military Balance in East Asia: How China's Neighbors Can Check Chinese Naval Expansion

被引：79

作者：

Beckley, Michael ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Harvard Univ, John F Kennedy Sch Govt, Int Secur Program, Belfer Ctr Sci & Int Affairs, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA

[2] Tufts Univ, Polit Sci, Medford, MA 02155 USA

来源：

INTERNATIONAL SECURITY | 2017年 / 42卷 / 02期

关键词：

SEA; BLOCKADE; COMMAND; COMMONS; FUTURE; POWER; RISE;

D O I：

10.1162/ISEC_a_00294

中图分类号：

D81 [国际关系];

学科分类号：

030207 ;

摘要：

Many analysts argue that China will soon dominate East Asia militarily. In reality, China is far from achieving this goal and will remain so for the foreseeable future. China's maritime neighbors have developed antiaccess/area-denial (A2/AD) capabilities that can deny China sea and air control throughout most of its near seas, and China cannot afford the power-projection capabilities it would need to overcome these A2/AD forces. This regional balance of power enables the United States to preserve the territorial status quo in East Asia at moderate cost and risk to U.S. military forces.

引用

页码：78 / 119

页数：42