Flooding in Western Washington: The Connection to Atmospheric Rivers

被引:318
作者
Neiman, Paul J. [1 ]
Schick, Lawrence J. [2 ]
Ralph, F. Martin [1 ]
Hughes, Mimi [3 ]
Wick, Gary A.
机构
[1] NOAA, ESRL, Div Phys Sci, Boulder, CO 80305 USA
[2] US Army Corps Engn, Seattle, WA USA
[3] Univ Colorado, NOAA, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
关键词
AMERICAN REGIONAL REANALYSIS; UNITED-STATES; WATER-VAPOR; PACIFIC-NORTHWEST; TROPICAL MOISTURE; PRECIPITATION; CLIMATOLOGY; CALIFORNIA; MOUNTAINS; SATELLITE;
D O I
10.1175/2011JHM1358.1
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
This study utilizes multiple decades of daily streamflow data gathered in four major watersheds in western Washington to determine the meteorological conditions most likely to cause flooding in those watersheds. Two are located in the Olympic Mountains and the other two in the western Cascades; and each has uniquely different topographic characteristics. The flood analysis is based on the maximum daily flow observed during each water year (WY) at each site [i.e., the annual peak daily flow (APDF)], with an initial emphasis on the 12 most recent water years between WY1998 and 2009, and then focusing on a 30-year interval between WY 1980 and 2009. The shorter time period coincides with relatively complete passive microwave satellite coverage of integrated water vapor (IWV) over the Pacific basin. The combination of IWV imagery and streamflow data highlights a close link between landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs) and APDFs (i.e., 46 of the 48 APDFs occurred with landfalling ARs). To complement this approach, the three-decade time series of APDFs, which correspond to the availability of the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) dataset, are examined. The APDFs occur most often, and are typically largest in magnitude, from November to January. The NARR is used to assess the composite meteorological conditions associated with the 10 largest APDFs at each site during this 30-year period. Heavy precipitation fell during the top 10 APDFs, and anomalously high composite NARR melting levels averaged similar to 1.9 km MSL, which is primarily above the four basins of interest. Hence, on average, mostly rain rather than snow fell within these basins, leading to enhanced runoff. The flooding on the four watersheds shared common meteorological attributes, including the presence of landfalling ARs with anomalous warmth, strong low-level water vapor fluxes, and weak static stability. There were also key differences that modulated the orographic control of precipitation. Notably, two watersheds experienced their top 10 APDFs when the low-level flow was southwesterly, while the other two basins had their largest APDFs with west southwesterly flow. These differences arose because of the region's complex topography, basin orientations, and related rain shadowing.
引用
收藏
页码:1337 / 1358
页数:22
相关论文
共 54 条
  • [1] [Anonymous], EL NINO SO OSCILLATI
  • [2] Interpretation of enhanced integrated water vapor bands associated with extratropical cyclones: Their formation and connection to tropical moisture
    Bao, JW
    Michelson, SA
    Neiman, PJ
    Ralph, FM
    Wilczak, JM
    [J]. MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW, 2006, 134 (04) : 1063 - 1080
  • [3] Understanding the Characteristics of Daily Precipitation over the United States Using the North American Regional Reanalysis
    Becker, Emily J.
    Berbery, Ernesto Hugo
    Higgins, R. Wayne
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2009, 22 (23) : 6268 - 6286
  • [4] A brief evaluation of precipitation from the North American Regional Reanalysis
    Bukovsky, Melissa S.
    Karoly, David J.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY, 2007, 8 (04) : 837 - 846
  • [5] Colle BA, 2000, WEATHER FORECAST, V15, P730, DOI 10.1175/1520-0434(2000)015<0730:MPVOTP>2.0.CO
  • [6] 2
  • [7] DALY C, 1994, J APPL METEOROL, V33, P140, DOI 10.1175/1520-0450(1994)033<0140:ASTMFM>2.0.CO
  • [8] 2
  • [9] DETTINGER MD, 2004, CALIFORNIA CLIMATE C
  • [10] SSM/I INSTRUMENT EVALUATION
    HOLLINGER, JP
    PEIRCE, JL
    POE, GA
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GEOSCIENCE AND REMOTE SENSING, 1990, 28 (05): : 781 - 790