Usefulness and limitations of global flood risk models

被引：188

作者：

Ward, Philip J. ^{[1
]}

Jongman, Brenden ^{[2
]}

Salamon, Peter ^{[3
]}

Simpson, Alanna ^{[2
]}

Bates, Paul ^{[4
,5
]}

De Groeve, Tom ^{[3
]}

Muis, Sanne ^{[1
]}

de Perez, Erin Coughlan ^{[1
,6
,7
]}

Rudari, Roberto ^{[8
]}

Trigg, Mark A. ^{[4
]}

Winsemius, Hessel C. ^{[9
]}

机构：

[1] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies IVM, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands

[2] World Bank Grp, Global Facil Disaster Reduct & Recovery, Washington, DC 20433 USA

[3] Commiss European Communities, Joint Res Ctr, I-21027 Ispra, Italy

[4] Univ Bristol, Bristol BS8 1SS, Avon, England

[5] SSBN Flood Risk Solut, Cardiff CF10 4AZ, Wales

[6] Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Ctr, NL-2521 CV The Hague, Netherlands

[7] Columbia Univ, Int Res Inst Climate & Soc, New York, NY 10964 USA

[8] CIMA Res Fdn, I-17100 Savona, Italy

[9] Deltares, NL-2629 HV Delft, Netherlands

来源：

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE | 2015年 / 5卷 / 08期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1038/nclimate2742

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Global flood risk models were developed to identify risk hotspots in a world with increasing flood occurrence. Here we assess the ability and limitations of the current models and suggest what is needed moving forward.

引用

页码：712 / 715

页数：5

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