Comparative study of various methods of fire danger evaluation in southern Europe

被引:180
作者
Viegas, DX [1 ]
Bovio, G [1 ]
Ferreira, A [1 ]
Nosenzo, A [1 ]
Sol, B [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Coimbra, Dept Mech Engn, P-3030 Coimbra, Portugal
关键词
fire danger methods; fire meteorology; southern Europe; Mediterranean forest fires;
D O I
10.1071/WF00015
中图分类号
S7 [林业];
学科分类号
0829 ; 0907 ;
摘要
Five methods for the evaluation of fire danger, based on meteorological factors, were tested using statistical data for daily number of fires and burned area from six different regions in France, Italy and Portugal, for a period of 3-9 years, both for Winter and Summer fires. A normalised scale for the output of the various methods was adopted to compare the variation of number of fires and burned area predicted by each method. Based on a statistical test, the relative performance of the various methods is assessed. From the five methods that were analysed in this research, the Canadian and the modified Nesterov methods showed the best overall performance.
引用
收藏
页码:235 / 246
页数:12
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