Reanalysis suggests long-term upward trends in European storminess since 1871

被引：86

作者：

Donat, M. G. ^{[1
,2
]}

Renggli, D. ^{[2
,3
]}

Wild, S. ^{[2
]}

Alexander, L. V. ^{[1
]}

Leckebusch, G. C. ^{[2
,4
]}

Ulbrich, U. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Univ New S Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia

[2] Free Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, D-12165 Berlin, Germany

[3] Swiss Reinsurance Co, Zurich, Switzerland

[4] Univ Birmingham, Sch Geog Earth & Environm Sci, Birmingham, W Midlands, England

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2011年 / 38卷

基金：

美国海洋和大气管理局; 澳大利亚研究理事会;

关键词：

CIRCULATION WEATHER TYPES; FUTURE CHANGES; ENSEMBLE; STORMS; GCM;

D O I：

10.1029/2011GL047995

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Regional trends of wind storm occurrence in Europe are investigated using the 20th Century Reanalysis (20CR). While based on surface observations only, this dataset produces storm events in good agreement with the traditional ERA40 and NCEP reanalyses. Time series display decadal-scale variability in the occurrence of wind storms since 1871, including a period of enhanced storm activity during the early 20th century. Still, significant upward trends are found in central, northern and western Europe, related to unprecedented high values of the storminess measures towards the end of the 20th century, particularly in the North Sea and Baltic Sea regions. Citation: Donat, M. G., D. Renggli, S. Wild, L. V. Alexander, G. C. Leckebusch, and U. Ulbrich (2011), Reanalysis suggests long-term upward trends in European storminess since 1871, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L14703, doi: 10.1029/2011GL047995.

引用

页数：6

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