Perspectives on risk: review and discussion of the basis for establishing a unified and holistic approach

被引:103
作者
Aven, T [1 ]
Kristensen, V [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Stavanger, N-4068 Stavanger, Norway
关键词
risk perspectives; risk assessment; science; unified approach; Bayesian paradigm;
D O I
10.1016/j.ress.2004.10.008
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
There exist many perspectives on risk, including safety engineering, social scientist perspectives, risk perception research and economic decision analysis. Traditionally, some of the different perspectives have been viewed to represent completely different frameworks, and the exchange of ideas and results has been difficult. Much of the existing discussions on risk perspectives have in our view lacked a sufficient level of precision on the fundamental ideas of risk assessments and management. For example, there is more than one line of thinking in risk analysis and assessment and mixing all approaches into one, gives a rather meaningless discussion. In this. paper, we review some of the most common perspectives on risk. We show that it is possible to establish a common basis for the different perspectives, by looking at risk as the full spectrum of the dimensions (a) possible consequences and (b) associated uncertainties. Examples from the offshore-oil and gas industry are included to illustrate ideas. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 14
页数:14
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