Is prediction of future landslides possible with a GIS?

被引：78

作者：

Fabbri, AG

Chung, CJF

Cendrero, A

Remondo, J

机构：

[1] ITC, NL-7500 AA Enschede, Netherlands

[2] Geol Survey Canada, Ottawa, ON K1A 0E8, Canada

[3] Univ Cantabria, E-39005 Santander, Spain

来源：

NATURAL HAZARDS | 2003年 / 30卷 / 03期

关键词：

strategy; prediction; validation; future landslide; myth; requirement;

D O I：

10.1023/B:NHAZ.0000007282.62071.75

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

This contribution explores a strategy for landslide hazard zonation in which layers of spatial data are used to represent typical settings in which given dynamic types of landslides are likely to occur. The concepts of assessment and prediction are defined to focus on the representation of future hazardous events and in particular on the myths that often provide obstacles in the application of quantitative methods. The prediction- rate curves for different applications describe the support provided by the different data layers in experiments in which the typical setting of hazardous events is approximated by statistically integrating the spatial information.

引用

页码：487 / 499

页数：13