Evaluating projects and assessing sustainable development in imperfect economies

被引:167
作者
Arrow, KJ [1 ]
Dasgupta, P
Mäler, KG
机构
[1] Stanford Univ, Stanford Res Initiat Environm Econ & Sustainable, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
[2] Univ Cambridge, Fac Econ, Cambridge, England
[3] Univ Cambridge St Johns Coll, Cambridge CB2 1TP, England
[4] Beijer Int Inst Ecol Econ, Stockholm, Sweden
关键词
accounting prices; bifurcation points; cost-benefit analysis; environmental Kuznets curve; genuine investment; genuine wealth; hysteresis; intertemporal welfare; irreversibility; nonconvexity; Pontryagin Principle; population growth; property rights; separatrix; social discount rate; structural stability; sustainable development; technological change; thresholds;
D O I
10.1023/B:EARE.0000007353.78828.98
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We are interested in three related questions: ( 1) How should accounting prices be estimated? ( 2) How should we evaluate policy change in an imperfect economy? ( 3) How can we check whether intergenerational well-being will be sustained along a projected economic programme? We do not presume that the economy is convex, nor do we assume that the government optimizes on behalf of its citizens. We show that the same set of accounting prices should be used both for policy evaluation and for assessing whether or not intergenerational welfare along a given economic path will be sustained. We also show that a comprehensive measure of wealth, computed in terms of the accounting prices, can be used as an index for problems ( 2) and ( 3) above. The remainder of the paper is concerned with rules for estimating the accounting prices of several specific environmental natural resources, transacted in a few well known economic institutions.
引用
收藏
页码:647 / 685
页数:39
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