Technology, employment, and the business cycle:: Do technology shocks explain aggregate fluctuations?

被引:632
作者
Galí, J [1 ]
机构
[1] NYU, Dept Econ, New York, NY 10003 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1257/aer.89.1.249
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
I estimate a decomposition of productivity and hours into technology and nontechnology components. Two results stand out: (a) the estimated conditional correlations of hours and productivity are negative for technology shocks, positive for nontechnology shocks; (b) hours show a persistent decline in response to a positive technology shock. Most of the results hold for a variety of model specifications, and for the majority of G7 countries. The picture that emerges is hard to reconcile with a conventional real-business-cycle interpretation of business cycles, but is shown to be consistent with a simple model with monopolistic competition and sticky prices. (JEL E32, E24).
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页码:249 / 271
页数:23
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