A tale of two time scales:: Determining integrated volatility with noisy high-frequency data

被引:898
作者
Zhang, L [1 ]
Mykland, PA
Aït-Sahalia, Y
机构
[1] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Dept Stat, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
[2] Univ Chicago, Dept Stat, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
[3] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[4] Princeton Univ, Bendheim Ctr Finance, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[5] NBER, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
bias-correction; market microstructure; martingale; measurement error; realized volatility; subsampling;
D O I
10.1198/016214505000000169
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
It is a common practice in finance to estimate volatility from the sum of frequently sampled squared returns. However, market microstructure poses challenges to this estimation approach, as evidenced by recent empirical studies in finance. The present work attempts to lay out theoretical grounds that reconcile continuous-time modeling and discrete-time samples. We propose an estimation approach that takes advantage of the rich sources in tick-by-tick data while preserving the continuous-time assumption on the underlying returns. Under our framework, it becomes clear why and where the "usual" volatility estimator fails when the returns are sampled at the highest frequencies. If the noise is asymptotically small, our work provides a way of finding the optimal sampling frequency. A better approach, the "two-scales estimator," works for any size of the noise.
引用
收藏
页码:1394 / 1411
页数:18
相关论文
共 26 条