Using system dynamics for simulation and optimization of one coal industry system under fuzzy environment

被引:30
作者
Xu, Jiuping [1 ]
Li, Xiaofei [1 ]
机构
[1] Sichuan Univ, Uncertainty Decis Making Lab, Chengdu 610064, Peoples R China
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Coal industry planning; Fuzzy set theory; System dynamics; Multiple objective programming; Simulation; LINEAR-PROGRAMMING MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.eswa.2011.03.033
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In this paper, we have developed a model that integrates system dynamics with fuzzy multiple objective programming (SD-FMOP). This model can be used to study the complex interactions in a industry system. In the process of confirming sensitive parameters and fuzzy variables of the SD model, we made use of fuzzy multi-objective programming to help yield the solution. We adopted the chance-constraint programming model to convert the fuzzy variables into precise values. We use genetic algorithm to solve FMOP model, and obtain the Pareto solution through the programming models. It is evident that FMOP is effective in optimizing the given system to obtain the decision objectives of the SD model. The results recorded from the SD model are in our option, reasonable and credible. These results may help governments to establish more effective policy related to the coal industry development. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:11552 / 11559
页数:8
相关论文
共 22 条
[1]  
Ball A., 2003, CHINAS CHANGING COAL
[2]   Multicriteria decision making for optimal blending for beneficiation of coal: a fuzzy programming approach [J].
Chakraborty, M ;
Chandra, MK .
OMEGA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 2005, 33 (05) :413-418
[3]   Dynamic modeling of a man-land system in response to environmental catastrophe [J].
Chen, YF ;
Qi, J ;
Zhou, JX ;
Li, YP ;
Xiao, J .
HUMAN AND ECOLOGICAL RISK ASSESSMENT, 2004, 10 (03) :579-593
[4]   R&D of coal utilization technology in Japan [J].
Ebara, N .
FUEL PROCESSING TECHNOLOGY, 2000, 62 (2-3) :143-151
[5]   A system dynamics based model for coal investment [J].
Fan, Ying ;
Yang, Rui-Guang ;
Wei, Yi-Ming .
ENERGY, 2007, 32 (06) :898-905
[6]  
Gen M., 1999, GENETIC ALGORITHMS E, V7
[7]  
Hwang Ching-Lai, 1981, MULTIPLE ATTRIBUTE D, P58
[8]  
Jaffrennou C., 2007, MARINE POLLUTION B, DOI [10.1016/j.marpolbul, DOI 10.1016/J.MARPOLBU]
[9]  
JAY W, 1976, TECHNOLOGICAL FORECA, V9, P185
[10]   Prediction of microbial desulfurization of coal using artificial neural networks [J].
Jorjani, E. ;
Chelgani, S. Chehreh ;
Mesroghli, Sh. .
MINERALS ENGINEERING, 2007, 20 (14) :1285-1292