Boundary crossing probability for Brownian motion

被引:66
作者
Pötzelberger, K
Wang, LQ
机构
[1] Vienna Univ Econ & Business Adm, Inst Stat, A-1090 Vienna, Austria
[2] Univ Manitoba, Dept Stat, Winnipeg, MB R3T 2N2, Canada
关键词
first hitting time; first passage time; optimal stopping; curved boundaries; Wiener process; random walk; barrier options; cumulative sums; sequential analysis; Monte Carlo simulation;
D O I
10.1239/jap/996986650
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Wang and Potzelberger (1997) derived an explicit formula for the probability that a Brownian motion crosses a one-sided piecewise linear boundary and used this formula to approximate the boundary crossing probability for general nonlinear boundaries. The present paper gives a sharper asymptotic upper bound of the approximation error for the formula, and generalizes the results to two-sided boundaries. Numerical computations are easily carried out using the Monte Carlo simulation method. A rule is proposed for choosing optimal nodes for the approximating piecewise linear boundaries, so that the corresponding approximation errors of boundary crossing probabilities converge to zero at a rate of O(1/n(2)).
引用
收藏
页码:152 / 164
页数:13
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