Seroconversion for human herpesvirus 8 during HIV infection is highly predictive of Kaposi's sarcoma

Background: The finding of antibodies against human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) is associated with the occurrence of Kaposi's sarcoma in persons infected with HIV. However, the predictive Value of HHV-8 antibodies for Kaposi's sarcoma in HIV infection is unknown. Methods: The Amsterdam Cohort Studies on HIV infection and AIDS started in 1984 for homosexual men and in 1985 for injecting drug users. Serum samples from 1459 homosexual men and 1167 drug users were tested for antibodies to recombinant HHV-8 lytic-phase capsid (ORF65) antigen and latent-phase nuclear (ORF73) antigen. Individuals were retrospectively identified as HHV-8-positive or HHV-8-negative at enrolment or HHV-8 seroconverter during the study. Kaposi's sarcoma-free survival time was compared between HIV-infected men who were positive for HHV-8 at enrolment and those who later seroconverted for HHV-8. Hazard ratios were estimated for Kaposi's sat-coma, lymphoma, and opportunistic infection according to the HHV-8 serostatus. Results: The incidence of HHV-8 seroconversion among drugs users was 0.7 per 100 person-years based on 31 seroconversions, whereas an incidence of 3.6 was found among homosexual men based on 215 seroconversions. The hazard ratio for Kaposi's sarcoma was 3.15 (95% CI: 1.89-5.25) in HIV-infected individuals if HHV-8 antibodies were present either at enrolment or at HIV seroconversion. In HIV-infected persons who later seroconverted to HHV-8, Kaposi's sarcoma developed more rapidly: hazard ratio of 5.04 (95% CI: 2.94-8.64), an additional risk of 1.60 (95% CI: 1.01-2.53; P = 0.04). Time-dependent adjustment for CD4(+) cell count and HIV RNA had no impact on the additional risk, although the CD4(+) cell count was an independent risk factor for Kaposi's sarcoma. HHV-8 infection did not increase the risk of AIDS-related lymphoma or opportunistic infections. Conclusions: The incidence of HHV-8 infection is higher in homosexual men than in drug users. The presence of HHV-8 antibodies in HIV-infected persons increases the risk of Kaposi's sarcoma. Among HIV-infected persons, those who subsequently seroconvert for HHV-8 are at highest risk. These results strongly confirm the causal role of HHV-8 in Kaposi's sarcoma and emphasize the clinical relevance of HHV-8 seroconversion before and after the HIV infection. (C) 1998 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.